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Fantasy Check

Favre's Initial Fantasy Impact

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As the news spread about Brett Favre's expected signing with the Minnesota Vikings, Fantasy Check headed to the World Wide Web to see which expert would be the first to weigh in on his fantasy value.

NFL.com's Michael Fabiano earned that distinction, at least based on Fantasy Check's due diligence. Clicking on Web sites counts as exhaustive research, right?

Fabiano's take: "As the leader of the Vikes' offensive attack, look for Favre to throw for 3,500-3,800 with 20-25 total touchdowns and 15-20 interceptions. Those numbers will make him a viable No. 2 fantasy quarterback and worth a middle- to late-round selection."

Last season Favre began with a flurry but finished with a whimper. He wound up with 3,472 yards, 22 touchdowns and 22 intecerptions. Those numbers make him a No. 2 fantasy quarterback.

But in 2007 during his final season with Green Bay, Favre had 4,155 yards with 28 touchdowns and 15 interceptions. That makes him a low-end No. 1 quarterback in most leagues.

Therein lies the dilemma in drafting Favre. Which quarterback are you going to get?

It's probably a safe bet he's not going to throw 22 interceptions, which were the most in the NFL last season. With Adrian Peterson running the ball, Favre shouldn't face as many obvious passing situations as he did last season.

But don't be surprised if Favre surpasses 4,000 yards passing either. Favre has had five seasons of at least 4,088 yards, and in three of them he had running backs with more than 1,000 rushing yards.

In 2007, Ryan Grant had 956 yards, so you could count that with an asterisk since he started only seven games. Grant was a rookie then, and the Packers were running a backfield by committee that also included Brandon Jackson and DeShawn Wynn.

Those statistics suggest Favre -- like any quarterback -- is best when he has a stout running game behind him. He'll certainly have that in Minnesota, so it wouldn't be all that improbable for Favre to emerge as a fantasy sleeper on any number of fantasy sites.

By Gene Wang  |  August 18, 2009; 11:59 AM ET  | Category:  Fantasy Football Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   Del.icio.us   StumbleUpon   Technorati  
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Posted by: Puten | August 18, 2009 1:45 PM

Way to go, Fabs!

Posted by: StinkinBadger | August 18, 2009 2:03 PM

Does Favre even start?

Sure the Vikes are paying through the nose for his services, but at this stage in his career is he really that much better than Rosenfels?

Add in the fact that he's late to camp in a new system and that he's missed the first preseason game.

Favre strikes me as a definite upgrade over the Frerotte/Jackson combo last year, but then again, so is Rosenfels. If the Vikes have a genuine competition for the starting slot, then it's not clear to me that a 39-40 year old Favre wins out over a 31 year old Rosenfels.

Posted by: JPRS | August 18, 2009 4:41 PM

The Vikings had been looking for a QB to manage a game. With the best running game in the league and Berrian, the return of Sidney Rice, and Florida State Rookie Percy Harvin the Vikings already looked a bit scary. Favre doesn't have to be the Brett of five years ago, only a QB that can keep a defense honest and with one of the top defenses in football the Vikings jump near the top of the class in 2009.

Posted by: Ted | August 18, 2009 5:42 PM

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