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Reader Question


Kirsten from Minnesota e-mailed this question:

"Fantasy widow turned player here. Based on who the other owners have kept from last year in our keeper league (Warner, Brady, Rivers), I may get to choose, at the number 8 slot, between Peyton and Aaron. (Brees will certainly be gone). If I have this choice, whom should I take? Why?"

Peyton Manning is the No. 3 fantasy quarterback according to just about every expert, so who am I to argue? Manning is a safer pick than Rodgers, who hasn't been around long enough to establish a track record.

Now, Rodgers could throw for 4,200 yards and 30-plus touchdowns, but when it comes to Manning, well, it's virtually a lock he'll post numbers in that range. Over the past 10 years, Manning has missed 4,000 yards just once (2005), and even then he threw 28 touchdowns.

By Gene Wang  |  August 21, 2009; 12:30 PM ET  | Category:  Fantasy Football Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   StumbleUpon   Technorati  
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Welcome to the darkside!

I believe your question really boils down to ADP value, since both QBs are projected to finish with relatively the same stat line in 2009. They're very similar when you break them down: both are in potent offenses, complete a lot of balls, throw to a better than average WR corp. and scramble for TD on their own. It is very hard to predict total TD passes, but if you agree that they are in the same ballpark, then the only real reason to take Peyton over Rodgers is health risk. Personally I would pass on Peyton and take Rodgers if I reasonably thought that the chance of missing out on both wasn't that great. Good Luck!

Posted by: Into The Friday Stretch Run | August 21, 2009 4:36 PM

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