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Fantasy Check

Projection vs. Production


Welcome to Fantasy Check's regular series on what experts forecasted and what players actually did. It was a busy Week 1, with many fantasy surprises. Let's begin with running backs.

Mike Bell
CBSSports Projection: 260 yards, 66 carries, one touchdown for 2009 season.
Production: 143 yards, 28 carries, 0 touchdowns in 45-27 win against Detroit.
Analysis: Bell will be difficult to keep on the bench, even if Pierre Thomas is healthy. With Bell's outstanding performance on opening day, the Saints don't need to be in any great hurry to rush Thomas back onto the field. Besides, there are reports indicating Thomas is more injured than the Saints are willing to reveal. Many fantasy players remain bearish on Bell, pointing out he put up big numbers against an inferior opponent and figures to struggle against Philadelphia in Week 2.

Fred Jackson
ESPN Projection: 685 rushing yards, four touchdowns, 158 carries; 228 receiving yards, 0 touchdowns, 31 receptions for 2009 season.
Production: 57 rushing yards, 0 touchdowns, 15 carries; 83 receiving yards, one touchdown, five receptions in 25-24 loss to New England.
Analysis: Jackson will continue to be the workhorse during Marshawn Lynch's three-game suspension. Even when Lynch comes back, Jackson will get touches, since he's the better receiver. BleacherReport gets props for targeting Jackson in early August.

Matt Forte
RotoWire Projection: 1,322 yards, 12 touchdowns, 302 carries; 421 receiving yards, two touchdowns, 58 receptions for 2009 season.
Production: 55 yards, 0 touchdowns, 25 carries and 0 receptions in 21-15 loss to Green Bay.
Analysis: A consensus top five pick, Forte disappointed all owners who were expecting much more on opening day. RotoWire's recommendation: "The Bears really got away from the run in the first half, and weren't able to establish it as a legitimate threat all game. Look for them to try and get Forte more involved from the get-go next week against Pittsburgh."

By Gene Wang  |  September 15, 2009; 1:00 PM ET  | Category:  Fantasy Football Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   StumbleUpon   Technorati  
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Posted by: JC | September 18, 2009 5:26 PM

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