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Fantasy Check

Trade Talk


Post colleges editor Matt Bonesteel, formerly of the paper's prolific NFL Gameday crew, is seeking input regarding a trade he has been offered by Des Bieler, also once a key cog in the aforementioned Gameday gang.

The proposed deal: Fred Jackson and Jerricho Cotchery in exchange for Ray Rice and Vincent Jackson.

First a breakdown of their stats.

F. Jackson: 220 rushing yards, 108 receiving yards, 11 receptions, 1 total TD.

Cotchery: 177 receiving yards, 10 receptions, 1 TD.

Rice: 144 rushing yards, 58 receiving yards, 7 receptions, 0 TD.

V. Jackson: 197 receiving yards, 11 receptions, 2 TDs.

Obviously Fred Jackson is the big fish in this trade. He is second in the NFL in yards from scrimmage, but his most important number may be his league-leading 54 touches.

That's a lot of work for one player this early, and if the Bills want Jackson to be fresh down the stretch, they'll have to spread around the ball more. Jackson will lose some touches when Marshawn Lynch comes back, and that's a legitimate concern for all Jackson owners.

But it's not necessarily a bad circumstance. Even though Jackson will defer part of his workload to Lynch, he figures to be less taxed toward the end of the season, when owners will be counting on his production in fantasy playoffs.

FFToolbox has an early list of Week 3 starters, and Jackson is No. 10 among running backs. If you're going to make a trade to get him, there's multiple reasons not to wait.

First, Jackson has one more game without Lynch, who is due back from his suspension in Week 4. Second, the Bills are hosting New Orleans, which is averaging 46.5 points in two games. That means Buffalo is going to have to score a bunch to stay competitive, and it means plenty of Fred Jackson.

Meantime, Rice looked good in Week 1, but his carries dropped from 19 in that game to eight in Week 2 against San Diego. The biggest issue for Rice owners is Willis McGahee getting red zone touches. McGahee has three touchdowns, while Rice has yet to reach the end zone.

Vincent Jackson has emerged as the go-to wide receiver on San Diego, with 14 targets in two games. That's second on the team behind Antonio Gates, who's the top option in San Diego's passing game, and that doesn't figure to change.

Cotchery is second on the Jets in targets with 13 -- two behind Chansi Stucky -- but he's still their most experienced wide receiver in the passing game and gives Mark Sanchez the best chance downfield.

Initially the trade felt as if it tilted in favor of the owner getting Fred Jackson and Cotchery, but then I learned Jackson was expendable on Des's roster. His other two running backs are Chris Johnson and Steven Jackson, and there's no flex position in this league, so all things considered, the trade seems about as even as they come.

By Gene Wang  |  September 22, 2009; 3:00 PM ET  | Category:  Fantasy Football Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   StumbleUpon   Technorati  
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Please email us to report offensive comments.

Even, schmeven. I win!!

Posted by: Des Bieler | September 22, 2009 3:08 PM

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