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Fantasy Check

What to Expect From Brees


My colleague Matt Bonesteel mentioned to me yesterday how he beat a team with Drew Brees, which entering this past weekend seemed highly improbably considering how well the Saints quarterback had opened the season.

"I thought I'd be in trouble," Matt said. "But said team went on to tie the league futility record for fewest points in a game (35)."

That got me thinking what Brees owners should expect when the Saints play the unbeaten New York Jets, who are one of the biggest surprises in the league thanks to a formidable defense that two weeks ago shackled the Patriots.

The last time Brees was held without a touchdown pass was Oct. 19, 2008. The following week Brees threw for 339 yards and three touchdowns against San Diego, which finished 31st in pass defense.

The Jets rank sixth in pass defense this season and held Matt Schaub to 166 yards and no touchdowns in Week 1, Tom Brady to 216 yards and no toucdowns in Week 2 and Kerry Collins to 170 yards and one touchdown in Week 3.

As you can see, the Jets are far from what the Chargers were last season on pass defense.

Last season Brees faced a top 10 pass defense four times and averaged 293.8 yards and 2.3 touchdowns in those games. Two weeks ago against Philadelphia, which is ranked fourth in pass defense this season, Brees threw for 311 yards and three touchdowns.

So chalk up Brees's performance against Buffalo last week to a simple statistical anomaly and expect his typical game against the Jets.

By Gene Wang  |  September 30, 2009; 12:00 PM ET  | Category:  Fantasy Football Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   StumbleUpon   Technorati  
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