The League

Rob Rang
Draft Guru

Rob Rang

Senior Analyst for and

Great Pay Good Talent


My conversations with the decision-makers of teams owning top ten picks in this year's draft have focused on the reality that the 2009 class simply lacks the guaranteed superstars - even at the top - that most classes offer.

Even the so-called safest picks (Aaron Curry, Jason Smith, etc.) have holes to their game. The superstar skill position prospects (Matt Stafford, Mark Sanchez, Michael Crabtree, Beanie Wells) have even more.

Most fans believe that teams want to have a top ten pick. It certainly makes for exciting drama on draft day as a fan. The reality is, however, that teams -- especially this year -- do not want to own picks this high. Obviously a primary reason for this is that the team must have endured a terrible season the year previous to have "earned" the pick, but just as importantly to teams is the reality that they'll soon be paying a good player great money -- a combination that has, if the player is a bust, ruined the financial foundations of many NFL teams.

The question asked was "Who Wants to Pick First?" In reality, because of the reasons I outlined above, no one wants to pick first. Don't expect any trades in the top ten this year, because, simply put, it isn't worth trading up that high. The talent available at 11-32 isn't significantly less than what will be taken at the top.

At the same, however, forget any talk of the Detroit Lions passing on the first pick in an effort to get a player cheaper.

The public relations nightmare that would ensue would be more trouble than taking the player and having him turn out to be a colossal bust.

By Rob Rang  |  April 20, 2009; 12:29 PM ET  | Category:  Detriot Lions , Draft Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   StumbleUpon   Technorati  
Previous: No Guts No Glory | Next: Picking First Isn't Best

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