The League

Doug Farrar
Writer

Doug Farrar

A FootballOutsiders.com staff writer

Avoid the Temptation!

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While there's no doubt that Jay Cutler is one of the best young quarterbacks in the game, the Redskins have more glaring needs than they do at quarterback, and the draft is the best way to fill those needs. While Cutler finished fifth in Football Outsiders' DYAR ranking last year, Washington's Jason Campbell finished 16th, despite a nebulous receiving corps and the continuation of his long-standing inconsistency in offensive coordinators and schemes. 2009 would mark the first time in his pro career that Campbell would have the same offensive overview to work under, and that kind of consistency is a major advantage to any quarterback.

Neither quarterback had incredibly efficient receivers, but Cutler did benefit from more productivity. Denver's Eddie Royal ranked 32nd in DYAR among receivers, while the "elite" Brandon Marshall ranked 42nd -- the product of a 57 percent catch rate. The two main men for the Redskins, Antwaan Randle El and Santana Moss, ranked 35th and 48th, respectively. Based on these numbers, Cutler really isn't a net improvement.

Denver had more passing yards than Washington -- 4,471 to 3,025 -- but threw the ball 110 more times (620 to 510). How about some more traditional stats? Cutler's passer rating last year: 86.0. Campbell's passer rating last year: 84.3.

If the Redskins had a quarterback situation like Chicago's or Minnesota's, where that position could derail them, it might be worth giving up what the Broncos will want for Cutler. But giving up several top draft picks for a player statistically similar to the one you already have doesn't seem to make a lot of sense. The Redskins need to avoid the temptation to offload the picks they need for the quarterback they don't.

By Doug Farrar  |  April 2, 2009; 10:16 AM ET  | Category:  Denver Broncos , Doug Farrar , Quarterbacks , Washington Redskins Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   Del.icio.us   StumbleUpon   Technorati  
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