The League

Doug Farrar

Doug Farrar

A staff writer

Still a beast


In sorting divisions by DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average), Football Outsiders' primary efficiency statistic, it's pretty evident that the two Western divisions provide the worst overall football. From best to worst, here's how it looks through 10 weeks -- since this is being written on Sunday night, we don't yet have stats for Week 11, though these percentages will closely estimate those results.

NFC East: 54.80%

The NFC Beast is on top, thanks to the Eagles 30.4% and Dallas' 21.1%. Washington is the only team with a negative total DVOA (-6.50), which probably comes as no surprise.

AFC South: 33.70%

The Colts are on top here with a DVOA of 34.50%, second-best in the NFL. The Texans and Jaguars have single-digit DVOA, whole the Titans have a -12.7% DVOA that is the byproduct if starting the season with six straight losses.

AFC East: 29.30%

The Pats lost to the Colts on that fateful Sunday Night game, but they still have the league's best DVOA (39.8%) because they're a bit better on offense and decidedly better on special teams. The Dolphins and Jets are hanging behind, but the Bills are way down there at -22.0%.

AFC North: 24.70%

To rank fourth with three teams in the top eleven, this division must have a real mutt at the bottom. And they do -- Eric Mangini's Cleveland Browns rank 30th at -42.7%, which is why they might not be Eric Mangini's Browns much longer.

NFC South: -6.80%

The third-ranked Saints (30.4%) are this division's only elite team, with the Falcons close to league average, the Panthers falling below the bar, and the Buccaneers in freefall at -32.8%.

NFC North: -27.20%

This is pretty much Minnesota and everyone else record-wise, though the Packers have a nice 20.3% DVOA to Minnesota's 25.0%. The Bears have let their 27th-ranked offense drag them down to -17.8, but it's Detroit's league-worst -54.7% DVOA that really pulls this division down.

NFC West: -29.30%

The NFC West has long been a division in which one team stands high above a group of non-starters. Last season, that top spot changed from the Seahawks to the Cardinals, and Arizona's still on top this year with the division's only positive DVOA at 19.6%. As expected, the Rams are at the bottom here at -37.5%.

AFC West: -62.70%

The worst division by far, and that's not the fault of the Broncos (13.2%) or Chargers (5.3%). You'd have to place the blame at the feet of the Chiefs (-32.1%) and Raiders (-49.1%).

By Doug Farrar  |  November 23, 2009; 10:07 AM ET  | Category:  Doug Farrar Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   StumbleUpon   Technorati  
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