Stats favor Saints
CLICK TO REACT
Whatifsports.com is pretty much on a deserted island when it comes to our Super Bowl XLIV prediction.
And we're not talking about a deserted island in paradise with a couple coconut trees, white sandy beaches and help is on the way. Our location is so isolated; the producers of "Lost" are interested in filming here and the smoke monster is our bookie.
With that image in mind, our track record speaks for itself. Whatifsports.com correctly predicted the 2009 BCS National Championship (Alabama), the World Series (Yankees), the 2009 NBA Finals (Lakers) and last season's Super Bowl champion (Steelers).
Whatifsports.com's super-computers simulated Super Bowl XLIV 10,001 times and predicted the New Orleans Saints will pull the upset 62% of the time over the favored Indianapolis Colts this Sunday in Miami.
Las Vegas, stop laughing at us.
Even as a 5-point dog to the high octane horseshoes, the Saints have the more valuable quarterback in Drew Brees.
Colts fans, stop screaming at us.
The lethal trigger man, with a cannon for an arm, was once left for dead after San Diego dumped his battered body (more specifically shredded shoulder) back in 2006. But now, with so many tantalizing targets at his disposal (he shared the wealth and completed passes to eight different receivers in the NFC Championship game), Brees is poised to win his first Super Bowl for the franchise that gave him a second life in the NFL.
There's no questioning Peyton Manning's talent on a football field and his ability to adapt to his surroundings as the game's storyline develops. Any fan of the game realizes that in the blink of an eye Manning can flip a switch and slice apart a secondary on his way to the end zone. Yes, New York I'm speaking to you.
What it comes down to is balance and the option to run the football.
I'm sorry, but Joseph Addai has not impressed me on the field recently and his season statistics are sluggish when the likes of the Giants' Brandon Jacobs and the Browns' (THE BROWNS!) Jerome Harrison are looking down on you in rushing yards.
To be fair, Pierre Thomas and Reggie Bush are further down on the rushing leader board, but their versatility on the field creates a more viable threat in the running and the passing game.
It doesn't help that Dwight Freeney will be playing the game on one leg, if at all. The subtraction of this critical pass rusher will allow Drew Brees, as if he needed more time, a cozier pocket to sit back, aim and fire down the field.
Whatifsports.com is eliminating the bias out of Super Bowl XLIV, relying solely on the statistics to back up the prediction.
We can't predict Manning's heart, we can't predict injuries, nor can we predict a halftime speech lighting a fire under one team.
Whatifsports.com can predict winners. Maybe we are not as lost as once believed.
Please email us to report offensive comments.
Posted by: cajunman1 | February 5, 2010 7:38 PM
The comments to this entry are closed.