The League

Dave Goldberg
Sports Reporter

Dave Goldberg

Covered the NFL for the AP for 25 years and now is a senior NFL writer for

Super Bowl renaissance


The Dallas Cowboys hope to be the first team to play a Super Bowl in their home stadium and a lot of folks seem to think they will.

Instead, on the day they opened training camp, they became the first team I crossed off my Super Bowl list, courtesy of Dez Bryant, their No. 1 pick and Roy Williams, who used to be an overrated wide receiver and now is just a mediocre one. For when Bryant objected to carry Williams' pads in one of those routine rookie hazing escapades, he ruined team chemistry. "No team chemistry!!!'' I thought to myself. "T.O. and now Williams/Bryant. Romo should have stepped in. He's not a leader and they won't win.''

Who will? Well, 32 teams are going to camp all harboring some sort of hopes and thousands of "journalists'' -- a term I use loosely-- are now conditioned by the 15-second news cycle to start making picks the minute the previous Super Bowl ends. So in a sense, these are a little late.

Again, Dallas is out. So is New Orleans because no team not coached by Bill Belichick wins two in a row and Belichick's luck has also gone south recently.

Also knock off San Diego, another team a lot of folks like because they keep coming close every year. That's the reason I'm NOT picking them. When you get close every year and don't win, you usually never win (See the Eagles of Philadelphia, who finally dumped Donovan McNabb after he quarterbacked them to five NFC championship games and one Super Bowl but never took home a ring.)

The rest of the NFC?

If not New Orleans or Dallas, what about Minnesota? Sorry. The Vikings had their run last season. Brett Favre will almost surely be back after giving ESPN almost as many hours of programming as LeBron gave it, but I don't think he will be the same at 40/41 (Birthday Oct. 10) as he was at 39/40. The Giants (remember they're only two seasons away from a title)? A playoff team but not a champion.

Throw out the Eagles unless Kevin Kolb turns into a superstar overnight and you have just one more team without a raft of question marks and glance at the Bears and then shudder when you think of Mike Martz trying to coach Jay Cutler and Julius Peppers' Haynesworthian attitude.

So ...

Think Aaron Rodgers. Think Vince Lombardi. Think Green Bay, especially if the offensive line can block and the secondary can cover.

AFC? Same teams for a decade: Patriots. Colts. Steelers. Chargers. I've already thrown out San Diego because too many people make it the favorite and the Steelers are gone -- Ben's partying took care of that. Indy and New England have shots because of Peyton Manning and Tom Brady.

But the New York tabloids' new darlings, the Jets, will fall on their faces -- their egos are already too big; their quarterback is only in his second year and they're weak at the most crucial position in football: owner. You can't call Woody Johnson a budding Dan Snyder because Woody is older than Dan, but ... well, Washington fans will understand that buying names doesn't buy victories.

That leaves with two choices: Baltimore and Miami.

Baltimore makes more sense. So I'm picking Miami.

Super Bowl pick? Green Bay 27, Miami 17.

But don't take it to the bank. Or your bookie. Much too early for that.

By Dave Goldberg  |  July 28, 2010; 12:30 AM ET  | Category:  Dallas Cowboys , Dave Goldberg , Green Bay Packers , Miami Dolphins , NFL , Playoffs , Super Bowl Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   StumbleUpon   Technorati  
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