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Anthony Stalter
National Blogger

Anthony Stalter

Senior Sports Editor for The Scores Report

Don't count your chickens

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Even though his annual retirement dance has long become an absurd spectacle, I've always maintained that Brett Favre can do whatever he wants.

Play, don't play, sit on your tractor, take pictures of weird people at Wal-Mart - I don't care. Who am I to say when an athlete's time is up? It's not my decision.

With that in mind, no, I don't think that it's a mistake that Favre has decided to come back. Regardless of whether or not you're entertained by his offseason antics or he makes you want to give yourself an at-home lobotomy, there's no question that he can still play. And play at an elite level, for that matter.

But will he lead the Vikings to a Super Bowl? No, he won't.

Do I think the Vikings are a good team? Yes. Do I think they're one of the best in the NFC? Yes. Do I like asking myself questions and then answering them? Absolutely.

But no, I don't think Favre will win a Super Bowl with the Vikings this year and there are only two reasons why:

1. His Health.
Two years ago, Favre suffered a biceps injury and it played a huge role in sinking the Jets' playoff hopes in the final month of the season. Last year, he made it all the way to the NFC title game, but he suffered a nasty ankle injury (the same ankle that required surgery in the offseason), which was one of the factors in the Vikings' demise. Say what you want about Sir Fickle, but the man is a warrior. He's never missed a game throughout his career and I suspect he never will. But at 40 years old, does anyone really think he's going to stay healthy enough to lead the Vikes to the Super Bowl? Granted, no player is healthy by about Week 10 of the season, but they're not 40 years old either. Let's just play the trends here; the last two years an injury has sunk his team's Super Bowl hopes. So let's make it a third this year.

2. Brad Childress.
The Vikings proved last year that with Favre under center, they're going to compete for a playoff spot. That said, I don't think Brad Childress is a Super Bowl-winning coach. Why? I think he has troubling developing talent (Adrian Peterson still can't block and still can't hold onto the football, Sidney Rice was the next Troy Williamson before Favre arrived, Tarvaris Jackson is arguably no better now than when he was drafted). I think he mishandles situations with players (see Favre, Peterson, Matt Birk, Dwight Smith to name a few). And I don't think he does a good job of masking his team's weaknesses (especially when he has a hole to fill on the offensive line). So the question of whether or not Favre can win a Super Bowl with the Vikings gets a little convoluted when you remember that Childress is still the man in charge. Can anyone say with any certainty in their voice that they can envision Childress making the right decisions in crunch time of a Super Bowl? I can't.

Even with those two things in mind, Favre still gives the Vikings their best chance of winning, which is exactly why they have no problem waiting until mid-August for him to show up to camp.

But I wouldn't put my money on either of them making an appearance in Dallas next February.

By Anthony Stalter  |  August 18, 2010; 1:30 PM ET  | Category:  Brett Favre , Minnesota Vikings , NFL , Super Bowl Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   Del.icio.us   StumbleUpon   Technorati  
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