Sunday Line Chatter, Week 11: Games We Might Want to Watch
Houston (+8) at Indianapolis
Matt: I totally wish this chat had an audio aspect to it.
Dave: Why's that, Bonesy?
Matt: Because you'd hear the sound of many timpanis heralding the coming of a pick so strong, that it's guaranteed.
Des: guaranteed, eh?
Matt: The Texans have never beaten the Colts in Indy. They lost last year's game there by 23 points. The year before that, it was 19.
Dave: Nothing says guarantee like timpanis
Matt: In 2005, it was 14 points.
Des: I thought past performance does not guarantee future results
Matt:
Dave: this is an unusually straightforward stat from Bonesy
Des: I missed that story. what's the coordinator scared of?
Matt: Oh, everyone in houston wants his head.
Des: ah. Yeah, I would probably take Houston if Schaub were playing, but then again, if Schaub were playing the line would likely be a tad lower
Dave: I'll take the Colts too, coming off a really gutty win in Pittsburgh. Even tho the last time they impressed me this season, vs. the Ravens, they went out the next week and laid an enormous egg, and I had locked them
Dave: BTW, the story would be better if the houston coordinator was scared of jack-o-lanterns
Des: OK, it's wing and a prayer time for me. As Dave noted, the Colts have been up-and-down, and while the Texans have been mostly down, and while the Texans have betrayed me most of the time I've picked them, and while... wait, what am I doing?
Des: Am I going to take Sage Rosenfels at the house of the team he still sees in his nightmares?
Matt: do it!
Dave: c'mon, mr.opposite!
Des: ah, fine, it's just one game, and I need to make up ground. Texans!
Tennessee (-3) at Jacksonville
Des: Is this the week?
Matt: Everyone asks that every week.
Des: good, didn't want to think I was being weird or something
Des: Vegas obviously wants people to bet on the Titans
Dave: Other than the fact that they play the same close-to-the-vest style as the Titans, it's odd that the Jags are being given this much credit when they've done so little to deserve it
Des: I mean, 50% of the people, anyway
Matt: Jags absolutely need a win here or they can just about forget it. And Jax is only 5-9 lifetime at home against the Titans.
Des: yeah, the Jags are in dire straits, but they are in dire straits for a reason -- they haven't played well very often this year
Dave: I think the Jags are about ready to pack it in. Certainly sounds like Mike Peterson is, and he's their defensive captain, for crow's sake. The Titans will lose, but not this week. And they'll win by more than 3.
Matt: They seemed to at least get their running game in order last week. of course, that was against the lions, who would be troubled by one-legged running backs and those in wheelchairs.
Des: yes, games against the Lions should not be used in comparison to competition against real NFL teams
Dave: I wouldn't want to tackle someone in a wheelchair. You ever see "Murderball"?
Matt: I was thinking more of the "Cocoon"-type wheelchairs.
Dave: oh, yes, of course
Matt: Anyhoo, I'm gonna ride the Titans until they lose. Tennessee.
Des: I am greatly looking forward to the Titans getting beaten next week by the Jets. Until then, they win, and cover. Titans
Dave: i just googled "cocoon type wheelchairs" and got an image result of matt's imagination
Matt: which they've done against the spread only once this year, which may be equally impressive as going undefeated straight up.
Des: who's done what against the spread only once?
Matt: the titans are 8-1 ATS.
Matt: only loss was to packers, and they failed to cover that spread by half a point.
Des: gotcha. yeah, I remember that Packers game -- I was the only one who took the Titans. grrr
Arizona (-3) at Seattle
Des: another seemingly small amount of points for the favorite to lay
Dave: I'm so ready for the Cardinals to turn into the Cardinals that I'm tempted to pick the Seahawks for that reason alone
Matt: The seahawks are 31st in the league in both passing offense and passing defense. impressive.
Matt: but they'll get hasselbeck back.
Des: I will pick the Seahawks for that aforementioned reason. The Cards tried mightily to turn into the Cards last week, and now they go on the road to a tough place? Seattle for me
Dave: I feel kinda undercut. Guess that's what I get for hemming and hawing
Des: and I like the fact that Hasselbeck will be back, that oughta give Seattle an extra boost of confidence
Matt: seems like a trap line to me, tho. i would have guessed it would have been higher.
Matt: but that is not going to deter me from taking the Cardinals. too much firepower for the seahawks to keep up with.
Dave: I'm a believer in Warner again. I'll take the Cards
Dave: Guess I'm not that strong a believer, given my first statement on this game, but I'm suckered in by the points
Des: and for the umpteenth time, I will say that I expect Warner to fumble the ball about four times. it hasn't happened yet this season, but that only draws us closer to the week when it does
Matt: Week 9 of the 2009 season.
Des: can't wait!
Matt: weather isn't supposed to be crummy, actually, so it might not be this week.
Cleveland (+5 1/2) at Buffalo
Matt: Why can't we go off the line in Thursday's print edition of USA Today. It has the Bills as a 54 1/2-point favorite.
Des: kinda like the Browns to cover that
Dave: You know how minor league teams and college fill fan buses to follow their teams? How about a fan ferry from Cleveland to Buffalo?
Dave: In Novermber? Wouldn't that be fun?
Des: a fan hovercraft would be sweet
Matt: I will offer up a Larimer-esque quick take and go with the Bills. The Browns are falling apart. The Bills are merely taking a midseason siesta.
Dave: Everyone could sing "The Wreck of the Edmund Fitzgerald"
Des: yes, over and over and over again
Dave: what a cheery song!
Des: better than singing about the wreck of the browns' season
Des: but the Bills haven't shown me much indication of late that they should be giving this many points to anyone.
Dave: The Bills need this a lot more than the Browns, and who know how many more Monday nights the fans in Buffalo will get?
Matt: They'll get plenty. They'll just have to go to Toronto to see them.
Dave: That's very true
Des: Ferry to Toronto!
Matt: There used to be a ferry from Rochester to Toronto. I think it was used by approximately five people, and folded after about two weeks.
Des: I suppose what I'm getting at is that I will cross my fingers for a rare Braylon Edwards sighting and take the Browns
Matt: I mean, who wants to ever leave Rochester!
Dave: Gimme the Browns to cover.
Des: Don't go back to Rochester
By
David, Des and Matt
|
November 14, 2008; 1:52 PM ET
| Category:
Game Previews Week 11
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